It is impossible for anyone to predict the future. Having said that, we can accept that there is a difference between a forecast and a prediction. Careful analysis of industry direction, product trends and emerging applications will inform any good researcher about the likelihood of one particular outcome or another. Although it’s an imperfect science, it is a scientific exercise and the health of any business depends upon the quality of forecasts. I’ve spent the last 18 months refining the forecasts I’ll share with you in our upcoming webinar: The Five Technologies That Will Define The Next Five Years in A/V. I believe we really can design and install A/V solutions that anticipate change and usher in the future in the least painful way. If you think so too, I hope you’ll join me on-line on September 9.
My paper, Putting Analog Sunset in Perspective, explores the trend of the global transition from analog to digital content and connectivity in AV systems. When I wrote that paper I was trying to define the scope of the great migration from an analog past to the brave, new digital world in which we find ourselves. All of the indicators pointed to a convergence of more than technology, but a convergence of culture. Technology’s effect on culture is akin to Pandora’s box; once its opened there’s no shutting it again. No one wants to give up binge watching, spending lazy Saturdays with crazy cats, or watching other people's epic fails while sipping a cold and refreshing beverage.
The December 8, 2010 joint press release from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Dell, Intel Corporation, Lenovo, Samsung Electronics LCD Business and LG Display was a shocking splash of cold water. It convinced me that there was a profound changing coming to our industry. Since component video, VGA and DVI had been the dominant video connections in computer and AV applications for so long, the question became, “what’s going to replace them?” The answers were revealed in the research. Changing the world’s media connectivity doesn’t happen in a vacuum. Each change will have effects that ripple through the industry, inspiring new and even more powerful changes as device connectivity is adapted to real world applications. Tying this technological evolution together is the (relatively) new demand for universal inclusion of high bandwidth digital content protection (HDCP). There are now more than 500 companies licensing HDCP technology, which is intended to protect digital content from illicit use as it is transported across various interfaces. In the digital world there are no copies, there are clones. Digital rights management is a part of the new reality.
As it turned out, identifying the replacements for VGA, DVI and other analog video connections was not that hard to do. HDMI has grown to dominate in both consumer and commercial AV connectivity since its introduction in 2003. With more than 4 billion devices in use, it’s a safe bet that HDMI isn’t going anywhere. In fact, it’s the new ‘yellow, red and white’ connector for the 21st Century. DisplayPort was called out by name as a replacement for analog VGA connections, and it’s moving swiftly to fulfill that destiny. We all love our mobile devices and MHL was engineered to take advantage of that little micro-USB connector and facilitate integration of whole new class of source into the world of fixed A/V assets. HDBaseT delivers five solid reasons that it’s the structured solution for point-to-point digital content connectivity. Finally, Miracast shows us how we can see tomorrow without the wires. Add in a touch of USB for the win and you’ll see that the future isn’t being predicted, it’s been designed.
Sign up for the webinar now: The Five Technologies That Will Define The Next Five Years in A/V.
Contributed By Joseph Cornwall